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Spot mispricings
before the market does

Spread Pilot compares prediction market prices against real-time crypto spot data. When the market is wrong, you get alerted — instantly.

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LiveUpdated 2:34 PM
BTC$69,088
📈 37.7%🔵 Kalshi

Market has BTC $68.7K–$69.2K at 13¢ — too cheap

📈 23.3%🔵 Kalshi

Market has BTC $69.2K–$69.7K at 12¢ — too cheap

ETH$2,033
📈 37.7%🔵 Kalshi

Market has ETH $2,030–$2,070 at 23¢ — too cheap

2 contracts are fairly priced

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Largest mispricing detected today

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Contracts monitored in real-time

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Spot price (Binance)

Everything you need to trade smarter

Spread Pilot turns raw market data into actionable insights you can read in seconds.

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Mispricing Detection

Our model compares prediction market prices against Binance spot data to find contracts that are too cheap or too expensive.

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Real-Time Alerts

Get push notifications the moment a significant spread appears. Premium users see live data with zero delay.

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Multi-Platform

Monitor both Kalshi and Polymarket contracts side by side. One app, all the markets that matter.

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Fair Value Insights

See what our model thinks each contract should cost. Understand why a price might be wrong.

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BTC & ETH Coverage

Track Bitcoin and Ethereum bracket contracts. More assets coming soon.

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One-Tap Trading

See a mispricing? Tap 'Trade it' and jump directly to the contract on Kalshi or Polymarket.

How it works

01

We watch the markets

Binance spot prices and prediction market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket are polled every 20 seconds.

02

Model estimates fair value

Our probability model calculates what each contract should cost based on how close spot is to the target range.

03

Spread = the gap

When the market price differs significantly from our estimate, that's a spread — a potential mispricing.

04

You get alerted

Push notification on your phone. Tap it, see the details, trade it with one tap.

Simple, transparent pricing

Start free. Upgrade when you're ready for real-time.

Free

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  • Spread monitoring (BTC & ETH)
  • Pull to refresh
  • Telegram bot access
  • Kalshi & Polymarket coverage
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Premium

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$9.99/month

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  • Everything in Free
  • Real-time live data
  • Instant push alerts (unlimited)
  • Fair value model insights
  • Live spread charts & history
  • Priority support
  • Early access to new features
Get Premium in the App

Premium is available as an in-app purchase on iOS and Android. Cancel anytime through your App Store or Google Play settings.

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Frequently asked questions

What is a spread?+
It's the gap between what a prediction market charges for a contract and what our model estimates it should cost. A large spread suggests the market may be mispricing the outcome.
Is this financial advice?+
No. Spread Pilot is an informational tool. Our model uses a heuristic approach and may generate false signals. Always do your own research before trading.
Which markets do you cover?+
Kalshi and Polymarket. We track BTC and ETH bracket contracts ("Will BTC close between $68K and $68.5K?") and target price contracts ("Will BTC be above $100K?").
How accurate is the model?+
The naive probability model is a practical starting point that catches large mispricings. It doesn't account for volatility or time to expiry, so treat small spreads with caution.
Can I cancel my subscription?+
Yes, anytime. On mobile, manage your subscription through the App Store or Google Play. On Telegram, premium is a one-time 30-day purchase — no recurring charges.
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